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Last Published October 25, 2021 05:34 PM October 26, 2021 02:18 AM
Primary Outcomes (End Points) The data collected in the second data collection wave can be pooled with data from the first data collection wave. Differences in meal tastes between July and November are controlled for due to individual by meal fixed effects included in each analysis. A total of eight observations are made for each individual, as for each of the four meals, the change in WTP taking place both from (1) the first to the second WTP inquiry and (2) the first to the third WTP inquiry is observed. This approach maximizes power, leading to the following number of observations for each treatment effect (provided 300 participants can be recruited in the second data collection wave): 1. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being made aware of emissions (by being asked to guess emissions caused), without being shown emission labels: 1240 observations (155 participants in Group C observed twice in the first data collection wave) 2. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being made aware of emissions and then shown emission labels: 1240 observations (155 participants in group T1 and 155 participants in group T2 in the first data collection wave) 3. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being made aware of emissions and then being told that emissions will be offset: 1240 observations (155 participants in group T1 and 155 participants in group T2 in the first data collection wave) 4. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being asked for WTP a repeated time, without being made aware of emissions: 900 observations (75 participants in Group 4 observed twice and 75 participants in group 5 in the second data collection wave) 5. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being shown emission labels, without previously being made aware of emissions: 900 observations (150 participants in group 6 and 75 participants in group 5 in the second data collection wave) 6. Change in demand occurring in reaction to being told that emissions will be offset: 600 observations (150 participants in group 6 in the second data collection wave) In the main analysis, I am interested in whether these treatment effects significantly differ and in how this interacts with the greenhouse gas emissions caused by the meal in question. Treatment effects (3) and (6) can be pooled to provide insights to the structural model for decision making under reduced environmental concerns, while treatment effects (1),(2),(4) and (5) together form a two by two design varying across the dimensions of awareness (by guessing emissions) and information (through emission labels). As an additional analysis, the effects of providing emission labels on WTP can also be analyzed using only data collected in the second data collection wave, comparing only treatment effects (4) and (5) in the list above. See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Randomization Method Participants are randomly sorted into treatment groups. See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Randomization Unit Randomization at the level of the individual See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Planned Number of Clusters 300 individuals See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Planned Number of Observations 300 individuals See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms 75 participants in group 4, 75 participants in group 5, 150 participants in group 6 See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Power calculation: Minimum Detectable Effect Size for Main Outcomes Details in attached PDF. The standard error of the effect size is assumed to be 0.0217. With 300 participants in the experiment, MDE is 0.0583 (9.5%) With 200 participants in the experiment, MDE is 0.0714 (11.6%) See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
Intervention (Hidden) This document describes additional data collection to Schulze Tilling, Anna. 2021. "Quantifying the role of greenhouse gas emissions in consumption choice." AEA RCT Registry. June 22. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.7858-1.0 The original pre-registration focused on the first wave of data collection, which took place between the 22nd of June and the 8th of July 2021. I will perform a second wave of data collection in October and November 2021, which will be further described in this document. The goal of this second wave of data collection will be to add to the data collected in the first wave with additional treatment conditions and additional observations (the sample size aimed for in the first data collection wave was not quite reached due to some potential participants not physically being in Bonn during the Covid-19 pandemic). Experiment participants are again recruited via hroot from the participant pool of the BonnEconLab. The requirement for participation in the experiment is that the participant does not follow a very restrictive diet (e. g. vegan, lactose-free, gluten-free or halal). Vegetarians are permitted to participate. The reason for this restriction is that people following these restrictive diets only make up a sub-part of the population and I consider them negligible in determining the effect a CO2 label has on the population. Vegetarians, in contrast, make up a larger part of the population. In the pre-survey, 20% of participants were vegetarian. Two of the meals shown to participants in the main decision scenarios are the same across all participants (vegetarian meals), while the other two differ. This way, half of the meals shown to non-vegetarians contain meat, while vegetarians are only shown vegetarian meals. Due to the fact that the experiment procedure differs from usual procedures at the BonnEcon- Lab and that some potential participants may not physically be in Bonn due to the Covid-19 pandemic, it is again difficult to predict how successful recruitment will be. I plan for 200-300 participants. The sample will be restricted as previously for the main analysis: • The fastest 3% of participants are excluded from the main analysis. • There are four comprehension questions to check the participants’ understanding on the incentivization of WTP. If participants’ response to at least one of these questions is incorrect, participants receive an error message and this counts as one error. I expect the average participant to make one to two mistakes as the questions are designed to make the participants further think about the mechanism. Participants who make more than five mistakes are excluded from the main analysis. This document describes additional data collection to Schulze Tilling, Anna. 2021. "Quantifying the role of greenhouse gas emissions in consumption choice." AEA RCT Registry. June 22. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.7858-1.0 The original pre-registration focused on the first wave of data collection, which took place between the 22nd of June and the 8th of July 2021. I will perform a second wave of data collection in October and November 2021, which will be further described in the attached Pre-Analysis Plan. The goal of this second wave of data collection will be to add to the data collected in the first wave with additional treatment conditions and additional observations (the sample size aimed for in the first data collection wave was not quite reached due to some potential participants not physically being in Bonn during the Covid-19 pandemic).
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) WTP, guess and survey data can be pooled with data from the first data collection wave to add to the following secondary analyses (already described in the original PAP): • WTP for carbon labels without and with having experienced carbon labels previously (as elicited in step 8) suggests the (expected) effect on welfare of being provided with these labels. The carbon labels tested in the experiment were designed together with Bonn’s student restaurant and the student restaurant is considering implementing these labels on a large scale in the future. • Participant’s guesses for the emissions attributable to meals can be tested for their accuracy. Camilleri et al. (2019) found that people are insufficiently sensitive to the magnitude of differences in emissions between food items. I expect consumers to overestimate the emissions of low- and underestimate the emissions of high-carbon meals. • The data gathered in step 2 can be used to construct a demand curve for each meal, allowing to evaluate the effect a carbon tax would have. Thus, one can compare the effectiveness of carbon labels versus carbon tax as policy instruments. • In step 10 of the experiment, participants are asked for their approval of (1) the introduction of carbon labels and (2) the introduction of a carbon tax in the student restaurant. I will examine whether approval differs between treatment groups. Further, these answers can be used as a check on the WTP which participants indicate for being shown emissions information. • Suggestive within-subject estimates of treatment effects can be constructed by comparing step 4 and step 5 WTP for a given meal of a given subject with her baseline WTP for the meal. This allows for some heterogeneity analysis. The effectiveness of the label might differ depending on (1) subjects’ education, (2) subjects’ income, (3) subjects’ environmental attitude, (4) subjects’ degree of self control in eating. The same factors might influence subjects’ WTP for being shown the label. • One might argue that participants shown emissions labels use these labels to infer nutritional characteristics of the meal. To check whether this is the case, I have participants guess the calories attributable to meals in step 6 of the first data collection wave/ step 7 of the second data collection wave. One group of participants is not shown emission labels for this guess, while other participants are shown the emission labels. If it is the case that participants infer nutritional information from emissions labels, the guesses made by the two groups should systematically differ. Similarly, data from the second data collection wave can also be included in the estimation of the structural model. See attached Pre-Analysis Plan
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