Testing the Mandela Hypothesis: An Experimental Analysis of Language and Politics in Côte d'Ivoire

Last registered on February 17, 2022

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Testing the Mandela Hypothesis: An Experimental Analysis of Language and Politics in Côte d'Ivoire
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0008983
Initial registration date
February 15, 2022

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
February 17, 2022, 5:25 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Bucknell University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2022-02-17
End date
2022-04-02
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Nelson Mandela said that, "If you talk to a man in a language he understands, that goes to his head. If you talk to him in his language that goes to his heart." This paper tests Mandela's claim using a survey experiment conducted in the Ivory Coast amongst the Dioula, a Mande ethnic group. The Dioula are known as traders and their language is spoken widely in the region and is a major source of pride for them. Like most Ivorians, they also speak French which is the language of the colonizer. Does this matter? Does language affect their political views? To find out, I will be conducting a randomized experiment in which Dioula speakers will be asked to do a survey with questions related to their wellbeing, ethnic identity, support for the current President, and government corruption. The expectation is that when respondents are presented the survey in Dioula that they will (i) report higher levels of wellbeing (ii) a relatively more ethnic and less national identity (iii) more support for the President who is also Dioula. There should be no effect on government corruption from the treatment. Surveys will be randomly assigned using a random number generator. Enumerators are all fluent in Dioula and French and using a random walk they will randomly select respondents in a section of Abidjan that is densely populated with Dioula speakers. Research has important implications for survey research in general as groups like the Afrobarometer conduct their surveys in one language like French in countries such as the Ivory Coast or Senegal. If language affects responses to these questions which are taken from the Afrobarometer then there could be a need to adjust survey methodologies accordingly.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Doces, John. 2022. "Testing the Mandela Hypothesis: An Experimental Analysis of Language and Politics in Côte d'Ivoire." AEA RCT Registry. February 17. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.8983-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention is the language of the survey: half of the surveys will be given in French and the other half in Dioula.
Intervention Start Date
2022-02-17
Intervention End Date
2022-04-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
There are four outcomes: self-reported wellbeing; ethnic vs national identity; support for President; government corruption.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Experiment will be conducted in Abobo, an area of Abidjan that is known to be populated by Dioula speakers. Enumerators will use a random walk sampling method and surveys will be randomly assigned with one in French and the other in Dioula.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Random assignment will be done using a computer. Surveys will be ordered according to the pre-determined randomization.
Randomization Unit
Unit of randomization will be the individual.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
One cluster
Sample size: planned number of observations
The total observations will be 200 with the possibility of a second round raising it to 400.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Each treatment arm will have 100 observations with the possibility of 200 per arm.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
No as there is no pre-existing data. However, we have existing on these questions such as wellbeing. We have found that reported wellbeing varies by enumerator education but about 0.60 points (4.98 versus 5.64). If the difference here is roughly half a point in wellbeing then the power for 200 observations is 0.97.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Bucknell University Institutional Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2022-02-16
IRB Approval Number
2122-063

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials