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Fields Changed

Registration

Field Before After
Trial Status on_going completed
Last Published March 24, 2022 04:46 PM March 20, 2023 10:16 AM
Study Withdrawn No
Intervention Completion Date December 31, 2022
Data Collection Complete Yes
Final Sample Size: Number of Clusters (Unit of Randomization) 12,500
Was attrition correlated with treatment status? No
Final Sample Size: Total Number of Observations 11,200
Final Sample Size (or Number of Clusters) by Treatment Arms 1613 borrowers control, 1587 borrowers treatment arm #1, 1616 treatment arm #2, 1602 treatment arm #3, 1629 treatment arm #4, 1585 treatment arm #5, 1568 treatment arm #6
Is there a restricted access data set available on request? No
Program Files No
Data Collection Completion Date December 31, 2022
Is data available for public use? No
Additional Keyword(s) mortgage refinancing, inattention, disclosure, monetary policy mortgage refinancing, inattention, disclosure, monetary policy, reminders
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Papers

Field Before After
Paper Abstract Under-refinancing limits the transmission of accommodative monetary policy to the household sector and costs mortgage holders in many countries a significant fraction of income annually. We test whether targeted communication can reduce the attention frictions that inhibit transmission by partnering with a large bank to analyze a field experiment testing messages sent to 12,000 Irish households. While we find only small effects of disclosure design improvements, a reminder letter increases refinancing by 76%, from 8.9% to 15.7%. To interpret this reminder effect, we extend and estimate a mixture model of inattentive financial decision-making to allow for disclosure treatment effects on attention. We find that reminders increase the likelihood mortgage holders are attentive by over 60%, from 24% to 39%. A conservative back-of-the-envelope cost-effectiveness calculation implies that the average reminder letter generated €42 of mortgagor consumption (€605 per refinancing household). Our results illustrate that targeted central bank communication such as refinancing reminders could have a larger effect on refinancing than a standard policy rate cut. Reminders could further strengthen the refinancing channel and stimulate local consumption even when policy rates are at the zero-lower bound or set in a monetary union.
Paper Citation Byrne, Shane, Kenneth Devine, Michael King, Yvonne McCarthy, and Christopher Palmer. "The Last Mile of Monetary Policy: Inattention, Reminders, and the Refinancing Channel," March 2023. NBER Working Paper No. 31043.
Paper URL http://www.nber.org/papers/w31043
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Partners

Field Before After
Public No Yes
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Field Before After
Public No Yes
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