Ambiguity attitudes for natural and artificial sources and real behaviors under ambiguity

Last registered on July 08, 2022

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Ambiguity attitudes for natural and artificial sources and real behaviors under ambiguity
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0009713
Initial registration date
July 06, 2022

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
July 08, 2022, 9:50 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Ryukoku University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Kyoto University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2022-07-11
End date
2022-07-19
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
We compare ambiguity attitudes for natural and artificial sources in both gain and loss domains. In addition, we compare the relationships between the ambiguity attitudes and real behaviors under ambiguity (preventive health and disaster preparedness behaviors) for the natural source with those for the artificial source; this is also examined in both gain and loss domains. Furthermore, we examine heterogeneity in ambiguity attitudes and in the relationship between ambiguity attitudes and real behaviors under ambiguity.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Fujimi, Toshio and Masahide Watanabe. 2022. "Ambiguity attitudes for natural and artificial sources and real behaviors under ambiguity." AEA RCT Registry. July 08. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.9713-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We conduct four different treatments in 2×2 between-subjects design, namely, artificial source in gain domain, artificial source in loss domain, natural source in gain domain, and natural source in loss domain. We measure ambiguity attitudes for the various sources and outcome domains.
Intervention Start Date
2022-07-11
Intervention End Date
2022-07-19

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Ambiguity attitudes (ambiguity insensitivity index and ambiguity aversion index)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Preventive health behaviors
Disaster preparedness behaviors
Risk preference
Time preference
Cognitive reflection test
Investment behavior
Demographic Variables (age, gender, income, educational background, health condition, natural hazard experience)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We conduct a web survey using a panel owned by an Internet-based research company in Japan. From among the registered members, we limit our survey to the people living in Osaka. The survey company randomly requests responses from registrants and accepts them on a first-come, first-served basis. Before answering the survey, the respondents are informed that the survey will take 20 to 30 minutes to complete.

The web survey is conducted in three parts. The first part involves a practice of answering matching probability. The second part involves experiments to obtain matching probabilities. The third part focuses on the subjects’ demographic variables, risk preference, time preference, and preventive health and disaster preparedness behaviors and conducts cognitive tests.

To elicit ambiguity attitudes, we apply the methods of Baillon et al. (2018) and Dimmock et al. (2016) for natural and artificial sources, respectively. In the natural source experiments, respondents are asked to choose between an ambiguous and an unambiguous option. In the artificial source experiments, respondents are required to choose between ambiguous lottery and unambiguous (risk) lottery.

We elicit ambiguity attitudes for different sources and outcome domains: 1) natural source in gain domain; 2) natural source in loss domain; 3) artificial source in gain domain; and 4) artificial source in loss domain. We randomly assign four different treatments for the respondents.

Reference
Baillon, A., Huang, Z., Selim, A., & Wakker, P. P. (2018). Measuring ambiguity attitudes for all (natural) events. Econometrica, 86(5), 1839-1858.
Dimmock, S. G., Kouwenberg, R., & Wakker, P. P. (2016). Ambiguity attitudes in a large representative sample. Management Science, 62(5), 1363-1380.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
800 individuals
Sample size: planned number of observations
800 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
200 individuals per arm
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Institutional Review Board, Ryukoku University
IRB Approval Date
2022-02-25
IRB Approval Number
2021-27

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials