Enhancing adaptive capacities of coastal communities, especially women, to cope with climate change induced salinity

Last registered on October 17, 2022

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Enhancing adaptive capacities of coastal communities, especially women, to cope with climate change induced salinity
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0010209
Initial registration date
October 13, 2022

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 17, 2022, 5:30 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Center for Evaluation and Development

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
University of Heidelberg
PI Affiliation
Center for Evaluation and Development
PI Affiliation
Green Climate Fund
PI Affiliation
UNDP Bangladesh

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2021-09-01
End date
2023-06-30
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Households residing in the coastal areas of Bangladesh are extremely vulnerable to the effects of climate change. The higher incidence of floods and storms as well as the rise of the sea level induce frequent saltwater intrusion into freshwater resources. Consequently, the productivity of traditional agricultural activities decreases significantly while access to clean drinking water deteriorates. We use a clustered phase-in randomized control trial to study the impact of a project that aims to sustainably increase household resilience to natural disasters and to their consequences in terms of soil and water salinity. This project, implemented in the districts of Khulna and Satkhira, focusses on climate change adaptation and aims to provide households with access to sources of clean drinking water located closer to their house, thereby allowing women to re-allocate time from fetching water (for which they are responsible in the vast majority of surveyed households) towards: i) training on climate-adaptive livelihoods, and ii) income-generating activities promoted by the project. Women who participate in the project are organized into Women Livelihood Groups, through which they receive training on climate-adaptive livelihoods, as well as input support to implement said livelihoods.
The project targets 101 wards in 39 Union Parishads (UPs) located across five Upazilas in the districts of Khulna and Satkhira. The RCT design includes two phases, with project implementation starting in February 2022 in the "early" group, and in October 2022 in the "late" group. We stratified randomization by Upazila and randomly allocated 25 UPs to the "early" group, and 15 UPs to the "late" group. Baseline data were collected on 3,120 beneficiaries in October 2021, and follow-up endline data will be collected in October 2022.
The main key indicators for the impact study are: resilience to natural shocks, captured in different dimensions, e.g., financial improvements (income, savings), self-reported preparedness; food security and diversity; income diversification and stability. Finally, we will analyze whether impacts arise through the intended key mechanism, namely that the drinking water solutions provided by the project allow women to re-allocate time towards income generation through adaptive livelihoods.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Al Abdullah, Harun et al. 2022. "Enhancing adaptive capacities of coastal communities, especially women, to cope with climate change induced salinity." AEA RCT Registry. October 17. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.10209-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The project is implemented by UNDP Bangladesh in the districts of Khulna and Satkhira. This impact study focusses on two interventions of the project: the "adaptive livelihoods" component (LH), and the "drinking water" component (DW).

The DW component consists mainly of constructing rainwater harvesting systems (RWHS), ensuring water supply during the dry season. The use is exclusively directed at drinking water, not at water resources for agriculture, cooking or personal hygiene. The RWHS can be installed in appropriate sizes at the household level, community level or institutional level. The plan is to install 13,308 RWHS at the household level, for which a small co-financing is required (this could also be contributed in-kind by helping to build the RWHS); 228 RWHS at the community level, each covering approximately 25–50 households (e.g. at mosques, temples or other community buildings); 19 RWHS at the institutional level, each covering approximately 75–100 households (e.g. at schools or other government institutions); and 41 pond embankments and filtration systems. At least 20 per cent of target households in each ward should receive a household-level RWHS. Water user groups and water management committees will be formed to ensure sustainable planning and maintenance of the water solutions.

The LH component targets exclusively women. They will be organized into Women livelihood groups (WLGs) of approximately 25 women each, for a total of 1,017 WLGs. Each WLG will jointly select three out of eight adaptive livelihood options, according to their preferences, for which they will be trained as a group. After completion of the training, they will be asked to select two out of the three LHs they were trained on, for which they will receive the necessary input. The eight LH options were selected with the goal of being appropriate for women’s engagement and empowerment as well as suitable for local market conditions. There are three production cycles: for the first cycle, in-kind support for the necessary inputs will be received; for the second cycle, a cash transfer from the Government of Bangladesh (around BDT 20,000 [USD 235] per beneficiary) will be received; for the third cycle, loans can be taken up by a microfinance institution to slowly phase in financial independence.
Intervention Start Date
2022-02-01
Intervention End Date
2022-11-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Household Food Consumption Score
Household Food Insecurity Access Scale score
Household total income
Household total expenditure
Household food expenditure
Household income diversification
Household income stability
Household savings
Household preparedness for shocks (self-reported)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Household Food Consumption Score: following the methodology developed by the World Food Program
Household Food Insecurity Access Scale score: following the methodology developed by the INDDEX Project
Household income stability: proxied by a cross-sectional estimate of income volatility following the three-step Feasible Generalized Least Squares procedure proposed in Chaudhuri, Jalan and Suryahadi (2002). "Assessing household vulnerability to poverty from cross-sectional data: a methodology and estimates from Indonesia". Department of Economics, Columbia University. Discussion paper No. 0102-52
Household income diversification: proxied by the inverse Hirschman–Herfindahl Index calculated using income shares from various sources (following Idowu, Awoyemi, Omonona, and Falusi, 2011. Non-farm income diversification and poverty among rural farm households in southwest Nigeria. European Journal of Social Sciences, vol. 21. pp. 163-177). Income sources are categorized following the RIGA Project.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Time allocation of women
Time allocated by women to fetching water
Women's decision-making power in the household
Women’s participation in social life
Adoption of adaptive livelihoods
Household profits from adaptive livelihoods
Income generated by women in the household
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The study design consists of a clustered phase-in RCT.
For the purpose of the trial, the "adaptive livelihood" component of the project is rolled out in two phases, i.e. one group of beneficiaries started project activities in February 2022 - the "early group - while the other group will start project activities in October 2022 - the "late" group.
The project covers 101 wards in 39 Union Parishads (UPs) across 5 upazilas (sub-districts). Randomization at the household (or individual) level and even ward level was not feasible. Therefore, UPs were chosen as the randomization units, i.e. UPs are the clusters in our trial.
Out of the 39 project UPs, 25 were randomly allocated to the "early" group; and 14 to the "late" group. Randomization was stratified by upazila, allowing to control for upazila-level heterogeneity, including potential implementer bias (UNDP partners with three NGOs for project implementation, and each NGO catchment area is defined based on upazilas).
Note that baseline sampling was done amongst those households identified as eligible to both the "adaptive livelihood" and the "drinking water" components of the project. Baseline data were collected in both groups in October 2021, and endline data will be collected from the same households in October 2022, before the second phase of implementation starts.
It is important to note that staggered implementation is only done for the "adaptive livelihood" component - the "drinking water" component will start in all project areas at the same time, during the "early" phase.
The proposed design will allow us to estimate the causal impacts of the "adaptive livelihood" component of the project, by comparing endline outcomes of the "early" group to those of the "late" group - the latter effectively serving as the control group in our study. Baseline data are used to check balance after randomization, and to control (potentially) for baseline values in regression analysis.
As households in the study sample also benefit from the "drinking water" component, we will be able to explore whether the key mechanism intended by the project is indeed at play (i.e. that "drinking water" solutions allow women to re-allocate time from fetching water towards income-generating adaptive livelihoods) - this part of the analysis may not yield causal claims, as the "drinking water" component was not controlled.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization was done in office, by a computer, using Stata.
Randomization Unit
The unit of randomization in our study is the Union Parishad (UP).
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
39 Union Parishads (UPs)
Sample size: planned number of observations
Endline target = 2,652 households Baseline target = 3,120 households, assuming up to 15% attrition
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
25 clusters in the "early" group - Target = 1,700 households at endline (2,000 at baseline)
14 clusters in the "late" group (effectively the control group in our analysis) - 952 households at endline (1,120 at baseline)
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Main outcome = Household yearly income Baseline mean outcome = 90,530 Bangladeshi Taka (BDT) Baseline standard deviation = 55,233 UP-level Intra-Cluster Correlation = 0.054 Endline mean outcome (calculated) = 103,991 BDT Standardized Minimum Detectable Effect = +14.9% Note that, although we present results in the case of an increase in household yearly income, our study is powered to also capture a decrease of the same magnitude.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Institutional Review Board of the Institute of Health Economics
IRB Approval Date
2022-08-11
IRB Approval Number
FWA00026031
Analysis Plan

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