2025 Chinese Retirement Preparedness Index Research Questionnaire

Last registered on October 22, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
2025 Chinese Retirement Preparedness Index Research Questionnaire
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016826
Initial registration date
September 19, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 22, 2025, 12:47 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Tsinghua University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
Completed
Start date
2025-08-30
End date
2025-10-20
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study, titled “China Residents Retirement Preparedness Survey 2025”, aims to evaluate the financial, behavioral, and psychological readiness of Chinese residents for retirement. Conducted jointly by Tsinghua University School of Economics and Management and Aegon THTF Life Insurance Co., Ltd., the survey collects nationally representative data on individuals’ retirement planning, pension participation, savings behavior, risk attitudes, financial literacy, and health expectations.

The questionnaire covers key dimensions including demographic and employment characteristics, education background, income and wealth, family structure, risk and time preferences, financial decision-making, and knowledge about the new personal pension system in China. The survey also investigates how individuals’ expectations regarding health, longevity, and future economic conditions influence their saving and investment behavior for retirement.

The results will be used to construct a “China Retirement Readiness Index,” providing empirical evidence for policymakers and researchers to improve pension system design, enhance financial education, and promote sustainable aging and household financial resilience. All responses are anonymous and used exclusively for academic research.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Yexin, Chen. 2025. "2025 Chinese Retirement Preparedness Index Research Questionnaire." AEA RCT Registry. October 22. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16826-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
This study includes a randomized information intervention embedded at the end of the national “China Residents Retirement Readiness Survey 2025.” The intervention aims to test whether providing personalized tax benefit information affects individuals’ willingness to open and contribute to a personal pension account.

Respondents who had not yet opened a personal pension account were randomly divided into two groups. The treatment group received a short message informing them of the potential annual tax savings if they contributed the maximum amount (12,000 RMB) to a personal pension account. The message stated, for example, that “if you open a personal pension account and contribute 12,000 RMB per year, you can reduce your personal income tax by approximately [AAA] RMB per year,” where the number [AAA] was calculated based on each respondent’s reported annual after-tax income bracket.

The control group received no such message. Both groups were then asked the same follow-up questions about their future intentions to open a pension account and planned annual contribution amounts.

This randomized double-blind design allows causal estimation of how tax-saving reminders influence participation decisions and contribution levels in China’s new personal pension system.
Intervention (Hidden)
At the end of the “China Residents Retirement Readiness Survey 2025,” we embedded a randomized information experiment to test how personalized tax-saving reminders affect individual decisions to open and contribute to personal pension accounts.

All respondents who had not yet opened a personal pension account (QS01 = 2) were randomly assigned into two groups of approximately equal size.

Treatment group: respondents were shown a personalized message (QSa) stating that if they opened a personal pension account and contributed the maximum annual amount of 12,000 RMB, they could reduce their personal income tax by approximately AAA RMB per year. The amount AAA was calculated automatically based on the respondent’s self-reported after-tax annual income (QM01), following China’s marginal income tax brackets. Specifically:
< 60,000 RMB → 360 RMB reduction
60,000–92,041 RMB → 360 RMB reduction
92,041–189,480 RMB → 1,200 RMB reduction
189,481–322,680 RMB → 2,400 RMB reduction
322,681–402,960 RMB → 3,000 RMB reduction
402,961–609,960 RMB → 3,600 RMB reduction
609,961–854,760 RMB → 4,200 RMB reduction
854,760 RMB → 5,400 RMB reduction.

After reading the information, participants were asked again about their intention to open a personal pension account (QSa1a) and how much they planned to contribute in the next year (QSa2a).

Control group: respondents did not receive the tax-saving message and were asked the same follow-up questions (QSa1b, QSa2b) without any additional information.
Both respondents and enumerators were blind to treatment status during fieldwork (double-blind design). Randomization occurred automatically within the survey program.

The primary outcomes are:

Intention to open a personal pension account (binary);
Planned annual contribution level (categorical from 1,000 RMB to 12,000 RMB);
Changes in responses relative to pre-intervention baseline answers (QS08 and QS09).
The intervention allows us to estimate the causal effect of salient tax benefit information on retirement savings behavior and assess heterogeneity by income, education, and financial literacy.
Intervention Start Date
2025-09-03
Intervention End Date
2025-09-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
retirement behaviors; individual pension accounts
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study employs a randomized controlled design embedded in the China Residents Retirement Readiness Survey 2025. The experiment aims to identify the causal impact of providing tax-saving information on individuals’ intentions to open and contribute to personal pension accounts under China’s new private pension system.

Respondents who had not yet opened a personal pension account were randomly assigned to either a treatment group or a control group. The treatment group received an informational message stating that if they opened a personal pension account and contributed the maximum allowed amount (12,000 RMB per year), they could save a specific amount of personal income tax annually, calculated based on their reported after-tax income level. The control group did not receive this message.

Both groups then answered identical follow-up questions about their likelihood of opening an account and planned annual contribution levels. Randomization was automated within the survey software, and both enumerators and respondents were blind to group assignment (double-blind design).

The primary outcomes are changes in:

Intention to open a personal pension account (binary); and
Planned annual contribution amount (categorical).
The study design allows estimation of how highlighting fiscal incentives influences retirement savings behavior in a nationally representative Chinese sample.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization was conducted automatically by a computer within the online survey program. Respondents who had not yet opened a personal pension account were randomly assigned to one of two groups: half were shown the informational message (treatment group) and half were not (control group). The random assignment was implemented using the survey software’s built-in randomization function, ensuring that neither enumerators nor respondents were aware of group allocation (double-blind design).
Randomization Unit
Random assignment was implemented at the individual level within the online survey software. Each eligible respondent (those who had not yet opened a personal pension account) was independently and automatically assigned to either the treatment group (shown the tax-saving message) or the control group (no message).

There is only one level of randomization, and no clustering by household, region, or enumerator.
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
4,000 individual respondents (each individual is a randomization unit; no higher-level clustering).
Sample size: planned number of observations
4,000 observations at the individual respondent level (2,000 treatment, 2,000 control; no clustering).
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Control group: 2,000 individual respondents (no tax-saving information shown)
Treatment group: 2,000 individual respondents (shown personalized tax-saving message about potential annual income tax reduction when contributing 12,000 RMB to a personal pension account)
Total planned sample: 4,000 individuals randomized at the individual level.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials

Documents

Document Name
2025中国居民退休准备指数调研问卷
Document Type
proposal
Document Description
File
2025中国居民退休准备指数调研问卷

MD5: 464dd1f358c280fed41edfabae60ea17

SHA1: e611d534694415656a6263834e6ad26381398bce

Uploaded At: September 19, 2025

IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials