Scaling and Equity Auctions: The Types-as-Quantities Case

Last registered on October 23, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Scaling and Equity Auctions: The Types-as-Quantities Case
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017041
Initial registration date
October 16, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 23, 2025, 6:45 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
The University of Queensland

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
The University of Queensland
PI Affiliation
The University of Auckland
PI Affiliation
University of Colorado, Boulder

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-10-23
End date
2025-11-14
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study investigates behavior in experimental procurement auctions for the completion of projects. Projects require inputs, and these requirements are stochastic. Bidders' types be associated with shifts in the distribution of required inputs. Participants will be organized in groups of two and will participate in both equity and scaling auctions.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Breig, Zachary et al. 2025. "Scaling and Equity Auctions: The Types-as-Quantities Case." AEA RCT Registry. October 23. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17041-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention (Hidden)
The experiment primarily involves a between-subject treatment design. Each session will involve either scaling auctions or equity auctions.
Intervention Start Date
2025-10-23
Intervention End Date
2025-11-14

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
The focus of our study will be the outcomes of the auctions, both in terms of the expected amount the auctioneer would need to pay the winning bidder and the expected costs that would need to be spent on the project.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study compares two procurement auction formats, scaling (unit-price) and equity-bid auctions, under uncertainty about input quantities. In each round, participants bid for the right to complete a project that requires two costly inputs and a fixed setup cost. In the scaling treatment, bidders specify per-unit prices for each input, and the bidder with the lowest weighted score wins. In the equity treatment, bidders request a percentage reimbursement of their variable costs, and the lowest requested share wins. After winning, payoffs depend on realized input quantities, which vary randomly to capture cost uncertainty. The design allows us to compare how the two mechanisms allocate risk and select efficient providers when project requirements are uncertain.
Experimental Design Details
This experiment studies how different procurement auction formats perform when there is uncertainty about the amount of inputs a contractor will need to complete a project. We compare two mechanisms: scaling (unit-price) auctions and equity-bid auctions. In both settings, participants compete in a reverse auction to win the right to carry out a project that requires two costly inputs in addition to a fixed setup cost. Each participant has private information about their likely input needs, which are drawn randomly each round to represent uncertainty about real-world project requirements.

In the scaling treatment, participants submit a bid for each input, representing the price per unit they wish to be paid. These two bids are combined using fixed weights to form a score, and the bidder with the lowest score wins the auction. The winner then pays the fixed cost and earns or loses points depending on the difference between their bid prices and the true input costs once quantities are realized. In the equity treatment, participants instead submit a single bid indicating the percentage of their variable costs they want reimbursed. The lowest percentage bid wins. The winner receives a fixed upfront payment and reimbursement equal to their chosen share of realized variable costs. In both treatments, only one randomly selected round is used to determine final payment in cash.

The experiment consists of 30 rounds, each with random rematching between bidders. Subjects first complete detailed instructions, examples, and a comprehension quiz with feedback to ensure understanding. Each round’s screen shows the participant’s personal input requirements, potential payoffs under different outcomes, and a slider interface to enter bids. After each round, participants see both bids (or scores) and the corresponding payoffs. At the end, participants complete a short demographic questionnaire, a cognitive reflection test, and an exit survey on their understanding and decision process. This design allows us to compare how the scaling and equity formats affect bidding behavior, cost efficiency, and implicit risk sharing in a controlled environment.
Randomization Method
The experimental software will randomize automatically. Groups and types are re-randomized each round.
Randomization Unit
Groups and types are re-randomized each round.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
Our final sample is expected to be 90-110 subjects.
Sample size: planned number of observations
With 100 subjects participating in 30 rounds, the total number of observations is expected to be 3000.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
We expect to have 50 subjects in the two between-treatments.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
UQ BEL LNR Panel
IRB Approval Date
2025-09-23
IRB Approval Number
2025/HE001937
Analysis Plan

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Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials