Mental Models of High School Success -- Supplementary Evidence on Mechanisms

Last registered on October 27, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Mental Models of High School Success -- Supplementary Evidence on Mechanisms
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017048
Initial registration date
October 21, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 27, 2025, 6:23 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Cologne

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-10-21
End date
2025-11-20
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Following two earlier data collections with Danish adolescents at the transition between elementary and secondary school, we conduct a supplementary experiment: Using a within-subject design, we analyze how adolescents infer characteristics of the production function of educational performance from observed gender differences in educational performance. We invite a random 20 percent of the Danish population born in 2009 to participate in an online survey. In the survey, everyone is exposed to two hypothetical scenarios -- one in which girls in a Danish school on average outperform boys in an exam, and one in which boys outperform girls. For each scenario, we elicit i) perceived returns to effort in the exam and ii) perceived returns to intelligence in the exam. Our hypothesis is that the returns to effort (intelligence) are perceived as higher (lower) when girls (boys) outperform boys (girls). We also elicit perceived effort costs among the girls (boys) in the two hypothetical scenarios from female (male) respondents in order to test whether effort costs of one's own gender are perceived as lower (higher) when one's own gender group outperforms the other group.

Registration Citation

Citation
Hübsch, Theresa et al. 2025. " Mental Models of High School Success -- Supplementary Evidence on Mechanisms." AEA RCT Registry. October 27. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17048-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
See pre-analysis plan.
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2025-10-21
Intervention End Date
2025-11-20

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Perceived returns to effort, perceived returns to intelligence, perceived gender-specific costs of study effort (all in two hypothetical scenarios about a high school exam with different relative performance of girls and boys)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We randomize each subject into one of two conditions: In the first condition, subjects see a scenario first in which girls have outperformed boys in a high school exam. In the second condition, subject see a scenario first in which boys have outperformed girls, and they see the other scenario second. We are interested in each respondent's differential responses to the same outcome variables in the first vs. the second scenario (within-subject design).
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization done by a computer
Randomization Unit
individual
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
approx. 800
Sample size: planned number of observations
approx. 800
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Half of sample in each "treatment arm", i.e., half of the sample sees one scenario first and the other half sees the other scenario first.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Research Ethics Committee at the Department of Economics of Copenhagen University
IRB Approval Date
2025-04-01
IRB Approval Number
N/A
Analysis Plan

Analysis Plan Documents

Pre-Analysis Plan (incl. Survey Instructions)

MD5: 67baf83909f1d2be80340e5564ab3550

SHA1: 36aee791f29fce362df5f2e081d2834f91774c92

Uploaded At: October 21, 2025

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials