Abstract
This study extends another ongoing project pre-registered here: https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.15672-1.0
We build on the framework of the existing project with the aim of exploring how narratives affect the monetary value people attach to nondiagnostic information.
We will replicate a similar Bayesian problem in a controlled experiment, where individuals face uncertainty and use new information to update their beliefs about the true state of the world. New information does not come for free, but signals can be purchased by the participant before stating their belief.
We will randomly assign participants to one of four conditions:
1) C_No_Info: participants engage with an abstract inference problem where acquired signals can only be diagnostic or missing.
2) C_Yes_Info: participants engage with an abstract inference problem where acquired signals can be diagnostic and nondiagnostic.
In the remaining treatments, participants will instead receive a fictional story, framed around identifying a culprit, which mirrors the same uncertainty and signals as the baseline but embeds them in a more emotionally and contextually rich framework.
3) N_No_Info: participants engage with the story, and acquired signals can only be diagnostic or missing.
4) N_Yes_Info: participants engage with the story, and acquired signals can be diagnostic and nondiagnostic.
By comparing differences across treatments, we assess whether the presence of a narrative increases the monetary value participants assign to nondiagnostic information. We expect higher valuations because, in our previous experiment, participants used nondiagnostic information to update their beliefs. Our goal is to show that subjects not only (mis)use nondiagnostic signals but also regard them as informative.