Changing Gang Paths at Adolescence: Long-Term Effects of a Behavioral Intervention

Last registered on May 11, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Changing Gang Paths at Adolescence: Long-Term Effects of a Behavioral Intervention
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018396
Initial registration date
May 05, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
May 11, 2026, 8:11 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
The World Bank

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Princeton University
PI Affiliation
University of California, Berkeley

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2016-05-02
End date
2027-12-30
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial is based on or builds upon one or more prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study evaluates the long-term impacts of a psychology-inspired after-school program (ASP) on educational attainment and criminal behavior among youth in highly violent communities in El Salvador. The program, implemented by Glasswing International in five public schools, combines cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT)-inspired social skills training with structured extracurricular activities, delivered in small groups over a 20-week period to students in grades 4 through 9.

Building on a randomized experiment involving 1,056 students conducted in 2016, this study extends the original evaluation by tracking participants up to eight years after the intervention using administrative records. The experimental design varies both access to the program (treatment vs. control) and the composition of peer groups within treatment clubs based on students' predicted baseline propensity for violence (heterogeneous vs. homogeneous groups).

The primary outcomes of interest are educational progression, including completion of lower secondary school, school dropout, and performance on the national standardized exam (PAES), and criminal behavior, including gang membership, criminal offenses, and arrests. Outcomes are measured using administrative data from the Ministry of Education (MINED) and criminal records from the National Civil Police (PNC) and the General Directorate of Prisons (DGCP). Additional outcomes of interest are formal employment and wages. These will be measured depending on obtaining access to the administrative records from the Salvadoran Social Security Institute (ISSS).
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Dinarte, Lelys, Carlos Schmidt-Padilla and Maria Micaela Sviatschi. 2026. "Changing Gang Paths at Adolescence: Long-Term Effects of a Behavioral Intervention." AEA RCT Registry. May 11. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18396-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention is a school-based after-school program (ASP) implemented by Glasswing International in five public schools located in highly violent communities in El Salvador. The program was delivered over 20 weeks between April and October 2016, targeting students in grades 4 through 9. Clubs met twice per week for approximately 90 minutes, immediately after the school day, on school premises.

Each session had two components. The first focused on behavioral and socioemotional skills development, uniform across all clubs. Drawing on psychology-based principles related to emotion and behavior regulation, it aimed to strengthen self-regulation and decision-making through activities emphasizing impulse control, emotion regulation, perspective-taking, and planning, delivered via experiential learning, role-play, and guided reflection.

The second component consisted of structured extracurricular activities designed to foster engagement and sustained participation. These varied by club type across four categories: leadership, art and culture, sports, and science. This component provided a supervised, socially interactive environment in which students could practice the behavioral skills introduced in the first part of each session.

Sessions were led by volunteer tutors who were non-specialists but received standardized training and detailed session manuals. This delivery model was designed to facilitate scalability in settings with limited access to mental health professionals. The mean club size was 13 students, and average take-up was 57%.
Intervention Start Date
2016-05-02
Intervention End Date
2016-09-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
The primary outcomes fall into the following domains:

Educational outcomes are measured using administrative records from the Ministry of Education (MINED) through the national student information system (SIGES) for the period 2017–2024. These include: (i) completion of lower secondary school (9th grade), (ii) dropout before completing high school, (iii) participation in the national standardized exam (PAES), and (iv) PAES scores.

Criminal outcomes are measured using administrative records from two sources. Gang membership is measured using intelligence records from the National Civil Police (PNC), which compiles gang recruitment and profiling data through field informants. Criminal offenses and arrests are measured using incarceration records from the General Directorate of Prisons (DGCP). Specific outcomes include: (i) gang membership, (ii) whether the individual committed a crime, and (iii) whether the individual has been arrested.

Labor market outcomes, conditional on data access, include formal employment status and wages, measured using administrative records from the Salvadoran Social Security Institute (ISSS). These outcomes will be analyzed if the data is made available by the institution.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The experimental design allows estimation of both the average long-term impacts of the after-school program and the role of peer group composition in shaping these impacts.

From approximately 2,420 eligible students enrolled in grades 4 through 9 across the five schools, 1,056 students applied and were enrolled in the 2016 studies (Dinarte-Diaz, 2024 and Dinarte-Diaz and Egana-DelSol, 2024). Randomization proceeded in two stages within school-by-educational-level strata.

First, enrolled students were randomly assigned at the individual level to either a control group (25 percent) or a treatment group offered participation in the ASP (75 percent). Students assigned to the control group did not participate in ASP activities and left school premises at the end of the regular school day.

Second, students assigned to treatment were randomly allocated to clubs that differed in peer composition based on a predicted baseline propensity-for-violence index. This index was constructed using external administrative and survey data on youth violence in El Salvador and combines individual, household, and school characteristics associated with exposure to violence. Students were assigned to either (i) heterogeneous clubs, in which peers differed widely in baseline propensity for violence, or (ii) homogeneous clubs, in which peers had similar baseline risk levels. Within homogeneous clubs, students were further grouped into high-risk and low-risk clubs based on whether their index lay above or below the median within each stratum. Neither students nor tutors were informed of the rationale behind group assignments. Further details are presented in Dinarte-Diaz (2024).
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office
Randomization Unit
Individual (student-level)
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
NA
Sample size: planned number of observations
1056 students
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
The experimental sample consists of 1,056 students. Within school-by-educational-level strata, students were randomly assigned to three arms:
Control group: 258 students (25 percent of the sample), who did not participate in the ASP.
Heterogeneous treatment group: 263 students, assigned to clubs composed of peers with diverse baseline propensities for violence.
Homogeneous treatment group: 535 students, assigned to clubs composed of peers with similar baseline risk levels. Within this arm, students were further grouped into high-risk and low-risk clubs based on whether their predicted violence index was above or below the median within each stratum.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Ética en Investigación en Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, PUC
IRB Approval Date
2016-04-28
IRB Approval Number
160314001