Experimental Design Details
The study employs a cluster-randomised controlled trial (RCT) to evaluate the effectiveness of alternative policy interventions aimed at promoting sustained LPG usage among rural households in India. The trial is implemented across selected rural districts in Odisha, Jharkhand, and Telangana, regions characterised by continued biomass dependence and widespread fuel stacking despite expansion in LPG access. The study focuses specifically on households that possess LPG connections but use LPG irregularly or alongside traditional biomass fuels such as firewood, dung, or crop residue.
The sample consists of 1,800 households distributed across 90 villages, with 20 households surveyed in each village. Villages were selected using a stratified multi-stage sampling strategy based on LPG penetration, rural accessibility, and feasibility of field implementation. Randomisation was conducted at the village level to minimise spillovers arising from information diffusion, shared distribution networks, and social interaction among neighbouring households. Villages were stratified by state, district, village size, and baseline LPG usage before assignment to treatment arms.
The experiment contains five groups: one control arm and four treatment arms. The control group continues under existing LPG access conditions without additional intervention. The first treatment arm provides a refill subsidy of ₹150 per LPG refill cylinder to reduce affordability and liquidity constraints associated with sustained LPG usage. Subsidies are delivered as immediate point-of-purchase cash transfers, with a maximum of six subsidised refills during the intervention period.
The second treatment arm consists of behavioural interventions designed to address informational and behavioural barriers. Households in this group receive two SMS reminders per week and one field visit per month. Messages are delivered in local languages (Odia, Hindi, and Telugu) and focus on health benefits of reduced smoke exposure, time-saving advantages of LPG, cost framing, refill reminders, social norm messaging, habit formation, women’s empowerment, and convenience of refill booking. Monthly field visits reinforce these messages using standardised communication scripts.
The third treatment arm focuses on reducing transaction costs and logistical barriers related to LPG refills. Households receive assistance with refill booking, refill scheduling, and coordination with LPG distributors. Dedicated field facilitators support households in arranging refills through phone, WhatsApp, or direct coordination with distributors, particularly in villages with weaker last-mile delivery systems.
The fourth treatment arm combines all intervention components, including refill subsidies, behavioural messaging, field visits, and assisted refill coordination. This combined intervention is intended to evaluate whether affordability constraints, behavioural frictions, and supply-side barriers jointly limit sustained LPG usage and whether integrated interventions generate larger behavioural responses.
Baseline household surveys were conducted between March and April 2025 and collected detailed information on demographics, socioeconomic status, cooking practices, LPG usage patterns, fuel stacking behaviour, time allocation, labour-market participation, women’s autonomy, and perceived barriers to LPG use. The intervention period runs from May to October 2025. Midline surveys conducted in November 2025 measure short-term behavioural responses and changes in LPG usage. Endline surveys conducted in March 2026 assess sustained impacts on fuel usage, time allocation, and economic activity outcomes.
Primary outcomes include LPG refill frequency, the share of meals cooked using LPG, persistence of fuel stacking, cooking-related time use, fuel-collection time, labour-force participation, weekly hours worked, and household enterprise activity. Secondary outcomes include refill delays, refill booking difficulties, awareness of LPG-related health and time-saving benefits, treatment compliance, cooking frequency, meal complexity, and perceptions regarding affordability and supply reliability.
The empirical analysis follows an intention-to-treat framework comparing outcomes across treatment and control groups while preserving the benefits of randomisation. Treatment effects are estimated using regression models that control for baseline household characteristics, district fixed effects, and state fixed effects, with standard errors clustered at the village level. The study also estimates treatment-on-the-treated effects using treatment assignment as an instrument for actual intervention uptake. Heterogeneity analysis examines whether treatment effects vary by gender norms, women’s autonomy, baseline LPG usage, income levels, and local labour-market conditions.