Transparency in Digital Credit Scoring and Agricultural Investment: Evidence from a Lab-in-the-Field Experiment in India

Last registered on September 28, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Transparency in Digital Credit Scoring and Agricultural Investment: Evidence from a Lab-in-the-Field Experiment in India
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0019799
Initial registration date
September 23, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 28, 2026, 9:37 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Georg-August-University Goettingen

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
International Food Policy Research Institute
PI Affiliation
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2026-01-01
End date
2026-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial is based on or builds upon one or more prior RCTs.
Abstract
Digital credit scoring can expand access to finance for smallholder farmers, but its benefits depend on whether borrowers understand how scores are generated and how their actions affect future credit access. Transparency may help farmers respond to digital credit scoring with clear information that push them toward productive practices that are genuinely relevant for creditworthiness. On the other hand, by making the scoring logic more visible, transparency may also encourage farmers to focus strategically on practices they believe are rewarded by the score. Whether the transparency provided to farmers improves investment decisions, induces score-targeting behavior, or has limited behavioral effects is therefore an underexplored area. This paper examines whether making a digital agricultural credit score more transparent improves farmers’ understanding and changes investment behavior. We study Dvara E-Registry (DER)’s KhetScore, a digital credit-scoring system that uses remote sensing and machine learning approaches to assess farmers’ creditworthiness. Using a lab-in-field experiment with 1,210 smallholder farmers, we compare a control group with two information treatments: a basic KhetScore information intervention (Treatment 1) and an enhanced treatment that adds repayment salience (Treatment 2). We hypothesize that KhetScore information will improve farmers’ understanding of the scoring system and may change input choices toward practices they learn as score-relevant by the intervention. We also hypothesize that repayment salience provided in Treatment 2, may affect behavior beyond information alone by making farmers more attentive to repayment risk, future credit access, and the consequences of investment choices under uncertain production conditions. Findings will have immediate relevance for our implementing partner and policymakers.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Kramer, Berber, Subhransu Pattnaik and Meike Wollni. 2026. "Transparency in Digital Credit Scoring and Agricultural Investment: Evidence from a Lab-in-the-Field Experiment in India." AEA RCT Registry. September 28. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.19799-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention tested whether transparency about KhetScore, a digital agricultural credit score for agricultural lending, improves farmers’ understanding and affects investment behavior. Treatment 1 is provided with the information on how KhetScore is generated and how farm-management practices can affect the score. Treatment 2 received the same information, plus a repayment-salience message linking timely repayment to future access to KhetScore-based loans. The control group received a placebo video without information on KhetScore or credit access.
Intervention Start Date
2026-01-01
Intervention End Date
2026-02-28

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
1. The first primary outcome is farmers’ understanding of KhetScore, measured using a short knowledge questionnaire after the information intervention. The questionnaire captures whether farmers understood key determinants of KhetScore, including the role of productivity, crop health, and weather-related production risk.
2. The second primary outcome is immediate input allocation in a coupon basket activity. In this activity, farmers allocated an INR 1,000 input coupon across a menu of agricultural input categories, including seed, organic inputs, crop protection, crop management, chemical inputs, and land and water management. This outcome captures intended input priorities immediately after the intervention.
3. The third primary outcome is actual coupon redemption, measured using administrative redemption data from the partner organization. These data record whether farmers redeemed the coupon and which product categories were redeemed during the coupon redemption window of 180 days.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The experimental design takes the form of a cluster-randomized trial. The study sample consists of 122 eligible villages in Jajpur district in Odisha, where DER’s KhetScore-based operations are active. Villages were assigned to different arms, stratified by block and village-size category. Randomization resulted in approximately equal allocation of villages across three arms: Control, Treatment 1, and Treatment 2, and a final sample size of 1,210 farmers. Randomization was conducted at the village level to minimize spillovers arising from information sharing within villages.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
The project follows village level randomization done using STATA.
Randomization Unit
Village
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
122
Sample size: planned number of observations
1210
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
40 villages control
41 villages treatment 1 - Khetscore information only
41 villages treatment 2 - Khetscore information with message on repayment salience
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IFPRI IRB
IRB Approval Date
2025-12-29
IRB Approval Number
MTID-21-0104PPPP