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Bringing property owners into the tax net: Avenues of fiscal capacity and local accountability

Last registered on March 26, 2023

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Bringing property owners into the tax net: Avenues of fiscal capacity and local accountability
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0002277
Initial registration date
June 21, 2017

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
June 21, 2017, 1:03 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
March 26, 2023, 9:58 PM EDT

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
PSE

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Paris School of Economics
PI Affiliation
Paris School of Economics
PI Affiliation
Paris School of Economics
PI Affiliation
Paris School of Economics
PI Affiliation
Paris School of Economics

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2017-11-01
End date
2023-08-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Property taxes are levied for local governments and often represent an important component in their budget funding. As such they play a crucial role in the face of increasing needs for public services in rapidly growing cities. In the context of developing countries, with cadaster shortcomings, weak administrative information and IT systems and poor enforcement tools, most local administrations experience substantial shortfall in property tax revenues. We partnered with the Senegalese tax administration (Direction Générale des Impôts et des Domaines) to develop a new property tax management system in Dakar, including an intensive fiscal census, a new data collection and management application, and the incorporation of modernized cadastral information. It's implementation through a randomized controlled trial will shed light on four questions: i) the extent and mechanisms by which this administrative investment increases fiscal capacity; ii) the respective advantages of a rule compared to discretion in the assessment of tax liability by tax officials; iii) the effects of increased local taxation on local governance dynamics and on the activities of neighborhood delegates; iv) the incidence of the property tax and its effects on the real estate market.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Cogneau, Denis et al. 2023. "Bringing property owners into the tax net: Avenues of fiscal capacity and local accountability ." AEA RCT Registry. March 26. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.2277-3.2
Former Citation
Cogneau, Denis et al. 2023. "Bringing property owners into the tax net: Avenues of fiscal capacity and local accountability ." AEA RCT Registry. March 26. https://www.socialscienceregistry.org/trials/2277/history/175040
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We partnered with the tax administration (DGID) and with a private local software company to define a modernized property taxation protocol, and to develop an application with both Android and Web components which encompass all stages of the fiscal chain. The application can be utilized in all areas of Senegal in the future, but the RCT focuses on the region of Dakar (cities of Dakar, Pikine, Guediawaye, Rufisque).

The intervention corresponds to a comprehensive property tax census carried out in treated areas by the tax administration, using the new application. The intervention seeks both to detect unregistered properties and to update the valuation roll. The census is accompanied by sensitization activities carried out in coordination with municipalities.

Within treated areas where the property tax census will occur, there are two possibilities for the way the tax base -- the value of the property -- is assessed, leading to two treatment branches. In the first treatment branch, tax agents in the field assess the value of the property using their discretionary judgement. This involves their knowledge of the area and potential interactions with residents. In the second treatment branch, the application allows for the semi automatized estimation of the property value based on observable characteristics that the agent fills in (rule based, or formula based valuation method). This valuation method is inspired from CAMA methods and Points Based Valuation methods, adapted to the Senegalese context.
Intervention Start Date
2019-07-15
Intervention End Date
2023-08-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
For the comparison T and C: tax payment; tax revenues.

For the comparison T1 and T2: tax assessment, tax payment; tax revenues.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Tax notification distribution
Compliance Rate
Accuracy of property valuation
Adjustment of tax assessment to taxpayer's capacity to pay
Corruption/Collusion
Taxpayer satisfaction
Taxpayer attitudes toward taxation and public institutions
Resident knowledge of local taxation
Resident demand for local government accountability
Implication of neighborhood delegate in local governance dynamics
Pass-through of the tax to rents
Demand for, and Regularization of property ownership
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The region of Dakar is divided into around 700 cadastral sections. Among these, 194 sections have been identified as eligible for the program -- eligibility being defined as: having up to date cadastral information (plot identifiers); having a tax potential; not being a traditional village, an informal settlement nor an industrial area. These 194 sections have been randomly divided into treatment and control group. The property tax census using the new application is the treatment that will be implemented in the 97 treatment sections. Within these treated sections, another randomization was done to assign 49 sections for the discretionary (or current) valuation method, and 48 sections for the rule based valuation method. The software is configured accordingly for each section.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer
Randomization Unit
Our unit of randomization is the cadastral section. The region of Dakar is divided into around 700 sections. The average number of plots in a section is 397.
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
The planned number of clusters (cadastral sections) is 194.
Sample size: planned number of observations
Administrative data: 194 clusters, 77,000 plots. Survey data: We plan to survey 20 property owners in each section. Total number of observations: 3,880.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Administrative data:
Control -- 97 clusters, 38,000 plots.
Treatment 1 Discretion -- 49 clusters, 20,500 plots
Treatment 2 Rule -- 48 clusters, 18,500 plots

Survey data:
Control -- 97 clusters, 1,940 respondents.
Treatment 1 Discretion -- 49 clusters, 980 respondents.
Treatment 2 Rule -- 48 clusters, 960 respondents.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Effect of fiscal census program on extensive margin of tax compliance: our baseline survey showed that 13% of eligible property owners paid the property tax in 2018. With 97 sections in T, and 97 in C, 397 properties per section on average (total number of plots in T and C sections: 77,208), and based on an intra cluster correlation of 0.08 (as observed in baseline data) and a power of 0.80, we can detect an effect of 4 percentage points (from to 13 to 17%) of the program on tax compliance . This is realistic considering the existing literature on property tax. This minimum detectable effect is also sufficient from a policy point of view. Indeed, given the significant cost of modernizing the tax system, an effect below 4 percentage points would not be cost effective. We use the following stata command: “clustersampsi,binomial detectabledifference p1(0.13) m(397) k(97) rho(0.08)” Effect of rules vs discretion on accuracy of tax assessment: In the baseline data, for 22% of cases property value implicitly assessed by the tax administration based on the amount of tax paid (as declared by the owner) is within 30% of the “objective” annual rental property value assessed by a real estate expert. With 48 sections in the “Rule” treatment arm and 49 sections in the “Discretion” treatment arm, with a survey sample size of 20 properties in each section, assuming a power of 0.80 and based on an intra-cluster correlation of 0.01 (observed in the baseline data), we can detect a difference of 6 percentage points (from 22 to 28%) in the proportion of “correctly assessed” properties between the two assessment regimes. Effect of fiscal census program on local governance outcomes: This will be measured using taxpayer survey data, clustered at the section level. Our baseline survey showed that 46% of property owners were in touch with a representative of local government (municipality, neighborhood delegate) in the past 6 months. Assuming an intra-class correlation of 0.04 (from baseline data), and a power of 0.80, with 97 sections in T and 97 in C, with a survey sample size of 20 respondents in each section, we can detect an effect of 6 percentage points (increase from 46 to 52%) on taxpayer interactions with local administrations. This corresponds to a 13% increase, which we believe is realistic considering the literature. We use the following stata command: “clustersampsi,binomial detectabledifference p1(0.46) m(20) k(97) rho(0.04)”
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
J-PAL Europe
IRB Approval Date
2017-04-04
IRB Approval Number
2017-007
IRB Name
J-PAL Europe
IRB Approval Date
2019-06-18
IRB Approval Number
2017 007
IRB Name
J-PAL Europe
IRB Approval Date
2022-05-19
IRB Approval Number
2017 007
Analysis Plan

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