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Overcoming the Planning Fallacy: Evidence from Online Education
Last registered on February 21, 2017

Pre-Trial

Trial Information
General Information
Title
Overcoming the Planning Fallacy: Evidence from Online Education
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0000972
Initial registration date
February 21, 2017
Last updated
February 21, 2017 1:46 PM EST
Location(s)
Region
Primary Investigator
Affiliation
United States Military Academy
Other Primary Investigator(s)
PI Affiliation
University of Chicago
Additional Trial Information
Status
In development
Start date
2017-02-15
End date
2018-10-01
Secondary IDs
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of planning tools on course completion and retention at a large not-for-profit online university. In particular, this research will examine whether students who complete a detailed study calendar and receive reminders about their study and course-completion plans complete more course credits and are more likely to re-enroll in courses than students who do not create a calendar or receive study reminders. This study will also examine whether students who, in addition to creating calendars and receiving reminders, also receive follow-up from mentors experience additional academic performance. In addition to identifying practical tools that could help online students achieve greater academic success, this study will inform whether problems with planning and memory are significant factors in poor performance in online education settings.
External Link(s)
Registration Citation
Citation
Patterson, Richard and Nolan Pope. 2017. "Overcoming the Planning Fallacy: Evidence from Online Education." AEA RCT Registry. February 21. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.972-1.0.
Former Citation
Patterson, Richard, Richard Patterson and Nolan Pope. 2017. "Overcoming the Planning Fallacy: Evidence from Online Education." AEA RCT Registry. February 21. http://www.socialscienceregistry.org/trials/972/history/14237.
Experimental Details
Interventions
Intervention(s)
Please see attached analysis plan
Intervention Start Date
2017-02-15
Intervention End Date
2017-11-01
Primary Outcomes
Primary Outcomes (end points)
Please see attached analysis plan
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Secondary Outcomes
Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Experimental Design
Experimental Design
Please see attached analysis plan
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
computer randomization done in office
Randomization Unit
Student mentor level
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes
Experiment Characteristics
Sample size: planned number of clusters
803
Sample size: planned number of observations
12000 students
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Please see attached analysis plan
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Please see attached analysis plan
IRB
INSTITUTIONAL REVIEW BOARDS (IRBs)
IRB Name
SBS-IRB
IRB Approval Date
2015-10-04
IRB Approval Number
IRB15-1036
IRB Name
US Military Academy Human Research Protection Program
IRB Approval Date
2015-11-19
IRB Approval Number
16-92 Patterson-Pope
Analysis Plan
Analysis Plan Documents
Analysis Plan for Overcoming the Planning Fallacy

MD5: 71bfa1b2167cd4563b69d867bbbc26cd

SHA1: 581353a7fcf145a8533a261af842195e6d87defd

Uploaded At: February 15, 2017

Post-Trial
Post Trial Information
Study Withdrawal
Intervention
Is the intervention completed?
No
Is data collection complete?
Data Publication
Data Publication
Is public data available?
No
Program Files
Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials
Relevant Paper(s)
REPORTS & OTHER MATERIALS