Fertility and migrants’ integration: social norms change after forced migration

Last registered on March 05, 2024

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Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title

Fertility and migrants’ integration: social norms change after forced migration

RCT ID

AEARCTR-0012925

Initial registration date

February 01, 2024

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published

February 02, 2024, 4:28 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated

March 05, 2024, 12:50 PM EST

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Name

Giacomo Battiston

Affiliation

RFBerlin

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Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Name

Riccardo Franceschin

PI Affiliation

Sabancı University

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PI Name

Abdurrahman Aydemir

PI Affiliation

Sabancı University

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PI Name

Asli Ebru Sanlitürk

PI Affiliation

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Digital and Computational Demography Lab

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Additional Trial Information

Status

In development

Start date

2024-02-25

End date

2024-12-31

Keywords

Other, Post-conflict

Additional Keywords

Fertility, Migration, Social Norms

JEL code(s)

F22, J13, Z10

Secondary IDs

Prior work

This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.

Abstract

Our experiment investigates the fertility norms of Syrian migrants relocated in Türkiye due to the civil conflict that started in 2011, in relation to the norms of the native Turkish population. We implement an RCT evaluating an information intervention among a sample of Syrian refugees. Individuals are randomized into two treatment groups receiving information about natives’ and Syrians’ fertility and fertility intentions, and a pure control group receiving no information. We then compare the fertility intentions of the treated group and the control group immediately after the treatment and intentions and outcomes after six months. We also conduct heterogeneity analysis disciplined by a simple theoretical model of native-migrant interactions and descriptive norms. If our results align with the model predictions, we may also exploit a structural estimation to produce counterfactual scenarios on the convergence of social norms with and without native-migrant interaction.

External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation

Aydemir, Abdurrahman et al. 2024. "Fertility and migrants’ integration: social norms change after forced migration." AEA RCT Registry. March 05. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.12925-1.1

Sponsors & Partners

Interventions

Intervention(s)

We give two interventions. In the first intervention, individuals receive information about Syrian refugees’ fertility, using statistical data, figures, and smart graphs. In the second intervention, individuals receive information about Turkish natives’ fertility, using statistical data, figures, and smart graphs. We include all of the intervention materials with our pre-analysis plan.

Intervention Start Date

2024-02-25

Intervention End Date

2024-12-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)

Fertility intentions (intentions to have children overall, and in the next 3 years, as well as the ideal number of children), beliefs about the fertility of natives and Syrian migrants.

Primary Outcomes (explanation)

We include a full description in the pre-analysis plan.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)

Actual pregnancy, perceived stigma from not adhering to social norms on fertility.

Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

We include a full description in the pre-analysis plan.

Experimental Design

The survey is administered by an enumerator, with the help of a tablet. During the survey, as indicated in the questionnaires attached in the pre-analysis plan material, we administer an information intervention. We do this by randomly divide our sample in 3 groups: one group receives no information, the second group receives information about Syrian refugees’ fertility, and the third group receives information about Turkish natives’ fertility, using statistical data, figures, and smart graphs. We then ask the remaining question about fertility, beliefs, and stigma. After 6 months we conduct a follow-up survey only including the questions after the treatment. This procedure is fully detailed in our pre-analysis plan.

Experimental Design Details

Not available

Randomization Method

Randomization done by a computer. The enumerator does not disclose the randomization outcome to the subject.

Randomization Unit

Individual.

Was the treatment clustered?