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Impact of Microcredit in the Philippines

Last registered on March 13, 2014
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Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Impact of Microcredit in the Philippines
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0000165
First published
March 13, 2014, 5:49 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Country
Philippines
Region

Primary Investigator

Name
Dean Karlan
Affiliation
Northwestern University
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Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Name
Adam Osman
PI Affiliation
Yale University
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PI Name
Jonathan Zinman
PI Affiliation
Dartmouth College
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Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2010-06-01
End date
2015-03-31
Keywords
Finance & Microfinance
Additional Keywords
Microfinance, Credit Scoring
JEL code(s)
Secondary IDs
Abstract
This study is a long-term evaluation of the impact of microcredit in the Philippines. In partnership with two microcredit lenders, we introduced a credit scoring system that evaluates the credit worthiness of credit applicants. First-time borrowers who are marginally credit worthy are subject to a random credit decision where most receive an offer of credit but some are randomly rejected. By comparing those who were randomly approved for credit against those who were randomly denied, we will be able to measure the impact of access to microcredit.

This study is a follow-up to Karlan and Zinman (2010).
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Karlan, Dean, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman. 2014. "Impact of Microcredit in the Philippines." AEA RCT Registry. March 13. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.165-1.0
Former Citation
Karlan, Dean, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman. 2014. "Impact of Microcredit in the Philippines." AEA RCT Registry. March 13. https://www.socialscienceregistry.org/trials/165/history/1306
Sponsors & Partners
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention Start Date
2010-06-01
Intervention End Date
2012-12-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Consumption, business investment, household income, response to shocks, use of formal insurance
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We used credit scoring software designed in consultation with two microlenders in the Philippines to identify marginally creditworthy loan applicants. Some applicants receive a randomized offer of access to credit while others do not and we will compare these two groups to obtain an unbiased measure of the impact of access to microcredit. More details on the experimental design can be found in Karlan, Osman and Zinman (2013), "Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock."
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization done by computer at time of loan application
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
4,032 loan applicants
Sample size: planned number of observations
4,032 loan applicants
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
417 applicants in control group, 3,615 in treatment group
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Yale University FAS Human Subjects Committee
IRB Approval Date
2009-11-17
IRB Approval Number
0510000752
Analysis Plan

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials